Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 17, 2006
River flowNo stage reading · 11,600 cfs
Actual · 05/17/2006
11,600 cfs
USGS daily
05/17 average
5.35 ft; discharge 6,646 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 4,954 cfs.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 81° / 30°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/17 average: 59% of peak melted · 12.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2006
81° / 30°F · 0.00"
05/17 average
64° / 29°F · 0.04"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2006
89° / 47°F · 0.00"
05/17 average
73° / 41°F · 0.04"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/17 average: 59% of peak melted · 12.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/17 average: 32% of peak melted · 29.9 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.