Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 29, 2007
River flowNo stage reading · 2,810 cfs
Actual · 05/29/2007
2,810 cfs
USGS daily
05/29 average
5.16 ft; discharge 6,018 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 3,208 cfs.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 57° / —F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/29 average: 81% of peak melted · 5.6 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2007
57° / —F · 0.00"
05/29 average
62° / 31°F · 0.06"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2007
61° / 34°F · 0.04"
05/29 average
70° / 42°F · 0.06"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/29 average: 81% of peak melted · 5.6 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/29 average: 54% of peak melted · 20.5 in SWE
Lottery odds7.02% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 05/29 launch
7.02%
3.9× season avg 1.79% (+5.23 pts)
First-choice applications
57
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.