Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 29, 2008
River flow2.28 ft
Actual · 07/29/2008
2.28 ft; discharge 1,080 cfs
USGS daily
07/29 average
2.08 ft; discharge 983 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.20 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · No observation · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/29 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2008
No observation
07/29 average
82° / 36°F · 0.06"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2008
90° / 52°F · 0.00"
07/29 average
87° / 53°F · 0.00"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/29 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/29 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds2.92% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/29 launch
2.92%
1.6× season avg 1.79% (+1.13 pts)
First-choice applications
137
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.