Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 7, 2010
River flow7.15 ft
Actual · 06/07/2010
7.15 ft; discharge 11,000 cfs
USGS daily
06/07 average
5.06 ft; discharge 5,880 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 2.09 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 56° / 45°F · 0.26" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/07 average: 95% of peak melted · 1.6 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2010
56° / 45°F · 0.26"
06/07 average
67° / 34°F · 0.06"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2010
67° / 50°F · 0.42"
06/07 average
75° / 46°F · 0.05"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/07 average: 95% of peak melted · 1.6 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/07 average: 75% of peak melted · 11.6 in SWE
Lottery odds6.06% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/07 launch
6.06%
3.4× season avg 1.79% (+4.27 pts)
First-choice applications
66
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.