Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, September 1, 2010
River flow1.93 ft
Actual · 09/01/2010
1.93 ft; discharge 802 cfs
USGS daily
09/01 average
1.73 ft; discharge 663 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.20 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 57° / 34°F · 0.08" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 09/01 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2010
57° / 34°F · 0.08"
09/01 average
75° / 29°F · 0.01"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2010
64° / 45°F · 0.03"
09/01 average
80° / 45°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 09/01 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 09/01 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds2.15% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 09/01 launch
2.15%
1.2× season avg 1.79% (+0.36 pts)
First-choice applications
93
Private launches available
2
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.