Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 5, 2011
River flow2.74 ft
Actual · 05/05/2011
2.74 ft; discharge 1,590 cfs
USGS daily
05/05 average
4.29 ft; discharge 4,320 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 1.55 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 59° / 14°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/05 average: 30% of peak melted · 19.4 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2011
59° / 14°F · 0.00"
05/05 average
58° / 25°F · 0.04"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2011
61° / 29°F · 0.00"
05/05 average
67° / 36°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/05 average: 30% of peak melted · 19.4 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/05 average: 13% of peak melted · 38.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.