Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 12, 2011
River flow6.32 ft
Actual · 06/12/2011
6.32 ft; discharge 8,520 cfs
USGS daily
06/12 average
4.38 ft; discharge 4,464 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 1.94 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 63° / 41°F · 0.03" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/12 average: 98% of peak melted · 0.9 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2011
63° / 41°F · 0.03"
06/12 average
67° / 32°F · 0.04"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2011
67° / 48°F · 0.12"
06/12 average
73° / 43°F · 0.03"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/12 average: 98% of peak melted · 0.9 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/12 average: 83% of peak melted · 8.3 in SWE
Lottery odds3.08% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/12 launch
3.08%
1.7× season avg 1.79% (+1.29 pts)
First-choice applications
130
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.