Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 21, 2011
River flow6.17 ft
Actual · 06/21/2011
6.17 ft; discharge 8,110 cfs
USGS daily
06/21 average
3.82 ft; discharge 3,468 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 2.35 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 72° / 28°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/21 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2011
72° / 28°F · 0.00"
06/21 average
69° / 31°F · 0.05"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2011
75° / 43°F · 0.00"
06/21 average
74° / 45°F · 0.05"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/21 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/21 average: 94% of peak melted · 2.9 in SWE
Lottery odds1.79% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/21 launch
1.79%
Same as season avg 1.79%
First-choice applications
223
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.