Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 23, 2011
River flow6.84 ft
Actual · 06/23/2011
6.84 ft; discharge 10,000 cfs
USGS daily
06/23 average
3.71 ft; discharge 3,286 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 3.13 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 82° / 39°F · 0.22" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/23 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2011
82° / 39°F · 0.22"
06/23 average
73° / 31°F · 0.01"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2011
83° / 46°F · 0.00"
06/23 average
80° / 46°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/23 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/23 average: 96% of peak melted · 2.2 in SWE
Lottery odds0.72% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/23 launch
0.72%
60% below season avg 1.79% (−1.07 pts)
First-choice applications
553
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.