Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 17, 2012
River flow4.62 ft
Actual · 06/17/2012
4.62 ft; discharge 4,880 cfs
USGS daily
06/17 average
4.06 ft; discharge 3,878 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.56 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 74° / 32°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/17 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2012
74° / 32°F · 0.00"
06/17 average
68° / 31°F · 0.10"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2012
83° / 49°F · 0.00"
06/17 average
74° / 46°F · 0.11"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/17 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/17 average: 90% of peak melted · 4.9 in SWE
Lottery odds1.56% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/17 launch
1.56%
13% below season avg 1.79% (−0.23 pts)
First-choice applications
256
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.