Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 3, 2012
River flow3.35 ft
Actual · 07/03/2012
3.35 ft; discharge 2,640 cfs
USGS daily
07/03 average
3.02 ft; discharge 2,146 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.33 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 79° / 37°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2012
79° / 37°F · 0.00"
07/03 average
80° / 35°F · 0.01"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2012
86° / 53°F · 0.00"
07/03 average
87° / 53°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/03 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Lottery odds1.01% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/03 launch
1.01%
44% below season avg 1.79% (−0.78 pts)
First-choice applications
397
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.