Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 24, 2012
River flow2.35 ft
Actual · 07/24/2012
2.35 ft; discharge 1,370 cfs
USGS daily
07/24 average
2.17 ft; discharge 1,082 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.18 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 80° / 35°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/24 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2012
80° / 35°F · 0.00"
07/24 average
83° / 37°F · 0.00"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2012
92° / 55°F · 0.00"
07/24 average
88° / 53°F · 0.01"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/24 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/24 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.58% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/24 launch
1.58%
12% below season avg 1.79% (−0.21 pts)
First-choice applications
190
Private launches available
3
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.