Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 25, 2012
River flow2.32 ft
Actual · 07/25/2012
2.32 ft; discharge 1,350 cfs
USGS daily
07/25 average
2.14 ft; discharge 1,052 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.18 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 80° / 31°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2012
80° / 31°F · 0.00"
07/25 average
83° / 36°F · 0.01"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2012
86° / 49°F · 0.00"
07/25 average
89° / 52°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.84% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/25 launch
1.84%
1.0× season avg 1.79% (+0.05 pts)
First-choice applications
163
Private launches available
3
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.