Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 28, 2012
River flow2.25 ft
Actual · 07/28/2012
2.25 ft; discharge 1,270 cfs
USGS daily
07/28 average
2.09 ft; discharge 997 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.16 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 86° / 34°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2012
86° / 34°F · 0.00"
07/28 average
81° / 35°F · 0.04"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2012
86° / 52°F · 0.00"
07/28 average
87° / 53°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.38% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/28 launch
1.38%
23% below season avg 1.79% (−0.41 pts)
First-choice applications
218
Private launches available
3
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Saturdays: 2.81%, about 1 in 36
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.