Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 25, 2013
River flow2.70 ft
Actual · 06/25/2013
2.70 ft; discharge 1,720 cfs
USGS daily
06/25 average
3.56 ft; discharge 3,021 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.86 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 63° / 40°F · 0.14" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2013
63° / 40°F · 0.14"
06/25 average
74° / 33°F · 0.01"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2013
73° / 50°F · 0.08"
06/25 average
82° / 48°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/25 average: 97% of peak melted · 1.7 in SWE
Lottery odds0.89% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/25 launch
0.89%
50% below season avg 1.79% (−0.90 pts)
First-choice applications
451
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.