Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 28, 2015
River flow2.08 ft
Actual · 06/28/2015
2.08 ft; discharge 1,070 cfs
USGS daily
06/28 average
3.36 ft; discharge 2,688 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 1.28 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 91° / 41°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2015
91° / 41°F · 0.00"
06/28 average
76° / 35°F · 0.02"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2015
100° / 58°F · 0.00"
06/28 average
85° / 50°F · 0.03"
18 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/28 average: 98% of peak melted · 1.1 in SWE
Lottery odds1.30% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/28 launch
1.30%
27% below season avg 1.79% (−0.49 pts)
First-choice applications
308
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.