Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 18, 2015
River flow1.46 ft
Actual · 10/18/2015
1.46 ft; discharge 466 cfs
USGS daily
10/18 average
1.70 ft; discharge 640 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.24 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 69° / 18°F · 0.18" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/18 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2015
69° / 18°F · 0.18"
10/18 average
57° / 21°F · 0.02"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2015
68° / 30°F · 0.01"
10/18 average
61° / 30°F · 0.02"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/18 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/18 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.