Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 8, 2016
River flow6.29 ft
Actual · 05/08/2016
6.29 ft; discharge 8,660 cfs
USGS daily
05/08 average
4.70 ft; discharge 5,070 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 1.59 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 66° / 26°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/08 average: 36% of peak melted · 17.8 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2016
66° / 26°F · 0.00"
05/08 average
56° / 25°F · 0.02"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2016
73° / 52°F · 0.00"
05/08 average
63° / 36°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/08 average: 36% of peak melted · 17.8 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/08 average: 17% of peak melted · 36.5 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.