Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 2, 2016
River flow4.24 ft
Actual · 06/02/2016
4.24 ft; discharge 4,020 cfs
USGS daily
06/02 average
5.09 ft; discharge 5,795 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.85 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 73° / 29°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/02 average: 88% of peak melted · 3.6 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2016
73° / 29°F · 0.00"
06/02 average
67° / 32°F · 0.10"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2016
80° / 48°F · 0.00"
06/02 average
74° / 46°F · 0.05"
17 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/02 average: 88% of peak melted · 3.6 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/02 average: 64% of peak melted · 16.5 in SWE
Lottery odds3.20% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/02 launch
3.20%
1.8× season avg 1.79% (+1.41 pts)
First-choice applications
125
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.