Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 26, 2016
River flow2.73 ft
Actual · 06/26/2016
2.73 ft; discharge 1,720 cfs
USGS daily
06/26 average
3.52 ft; discharge 2,924 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.79 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 72° / 25°F · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/26 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2016
72° / 25°F
06/26 average
75° / 35°F · 0.05"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2016
76° / 38°F · 0.00"
06/26 average
81° / 50°F · 0.03"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/26 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/26 average: 97% of peak melted · 1.4 in SWE
Lottery odds1.11% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/26 launch
1.11%
38% below season avg 1.79% (−0.68 pts)
First-choice applications
450
Private launches available
5
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.