Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 27, 2016
River flow1.95 ft
Actual · 10/27/2016
1.95 ft; discharge 833 cfs
USGS daily
10/27 average
1.73 ft; discharge 660 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.22 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 64° / 29°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/27 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2016
64° / 29°F · 0.00"
10/27 average
48° / 18°F · 0.03"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2016
59° / 36°F · 0.00"
10/27 average
49° / 28°F · 0.01"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/27 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/27 average: 0% of peak melted · 1.0 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.