Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 18, 2017
River flow6.03 ft
Actual · 06/18/2017
6.03 ft; discharge 7,950 cfs
USGS daily
06/18 average
4.03 ft; discharge 3,802 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 2.00 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 65° / 36°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/18 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.4 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2017
65° / 36°F · 0.00"
06/18 average
67° / 31°F · 0.10"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2017
73° / 50°F · 0.00"
06/18 average
73° / 45°F · 0.06"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/18 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.4 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/18 average: 91% of peak melted · 4.3 in SWE
Lottery odds1.46% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/18 launch
1.46%
18% below season avg 1.79% (−0.33 pts)
First-choice applications
274
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.