Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 6, 2019
River flow5.68 ft
Actual · 06/06/2019
5.68 ft; discharge 7,190 cfs
USGS daily
06/06 average
5.16 ft; discharge 6,096 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.52 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 72° / 35°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/06 average: 94% of peak melted · 1.9 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2019
72° / 35°F · 0.00"
06/06 average
68° / 33°F · 0.05"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2019
85° / 47°F · 0.00"
06/06 average
77° / 46°F · 0.04"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/06 average: 94% of peak melted · 1.9 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/06 average: 73% of peak melted · 12.4 in SWE
Lottery odds3.88% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/06 launch
3.88%
2.2× season avg 1.79% (+2.09 pts)
First-choice applications
103
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.